Friday, July 24, 2015

Iran has anchored its mock-up of a US aircraft carrier at a military base in the Straight of Hormuz

Iran aircraft carrier mock-up

Prior to signing the historic nuclear deal between the EU3+3 and Iran earlier this month, Iran’s propaganda piece, a mock-up of a US Nimitz-class aircraft carrier, was moved outside the harbor of Bandar Abbas.

Satellite imagery acquired by DigitalGlobe in June shows the mockup floating west of the peninsular breakwaters at the Iranian naval base. The mockup was used in the Great Prophet 9 exercise earlier this year to demonstrate Iran’s resolve in closing the Strait of Hormuz.

Imagery shows that it had been towed away from its berthing position at 27.141731 56.201896 in late May where it was observed during mobilization in January and after exercises in March.

The latest imagery also confirmed that the “floating barge” had not been repaired at the time of capture. Damage was still visible to the deck and the mock-up control tower.

While it’s still difficult to determine what Iran has in-store for the mock-up, the signing of the Iranian nuclear deal may signal a change in US-Iran relations. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani emphasized that the agreement begins “a new chapter” and if carried out correctly could “gradually eliminate distrust.” Such sentiments were echoed by President Obama when he noted: “This deal offers an opportunity to move in a new direction. We should seize it.”

On the surface, the agreement could potentially limit the mock-up's future use in signaling an all-out confrontation between the two countries' naval forces. However, with skeptics and detractors in both countries remaining hostile to the agreement, it may be too early to say.

After 20 months of negotiations, hardliners still believe the agreement has made their countries less secure. The American GOP calls it a “diplomatic failure,” “deeply flawed” and a “historic mistake.” In Iran, the IRGC criticizes the deal as violating Iran’s redlines (even though it potentially improves their grip on the country's economy).

All of which could suggest that this low fidelity mockup may yet have some role to play. The true test will be after it returns to the ISOICO shipyard.

To dismantle or repair, that is the question.

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